NBA DFS Analytics: March 2nd


DFS 2ndAnnouncements

What’s up everyone! We’re incredibly excited to finally share with you what we’ve been working on for so long! We just released our wide array of DFS tools which will include:

1) Our Advanced NBA Lineup Optimizer (which allows you to optimize for cash/GPP lineups and lock/exclude players based on certain criteria),

2) Our in depth Daily NBA Datasheets for every player from every main slate game.

3) Our NBA player spotlight analyses.

4) Our brand new “DFS Dives” series.

5) Member exclusive All-Star weekend content.

All of this is available through our new Analytic City Plus membership plan for just $1.99/week! Try it out for tonight's games, every membership starts with a 1 week free trial!

 

Still not sure? Learn more about what you get as an Analytic City Plus Member!

Words cannot describe how excited we are to finally be able to share these new tools with you all! We think they are really a game changer for DFS and we can’t wait to hear what you guys think!

If the AC Plus DFS membership is not for you, you’ll still be able to access our daily projection tables and DFS write ups for free on this page every single day!

Quick Hitters (3/02)

- Today's main slate features 6 games, DEN & SA are on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is WAS v MEM at 238.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is SA v NY at 215 points.

Need to Know:

Grayson Allen Out, Kyle Anderson Questionable: With Allen out last game, Desmond Bane (3,400 DK and 3,500 FD) got the start and had a really solid night, putting up 15 pts and 7 reb, so I expect him to get the start again and be a great value play tonight. If Anderson also sits, it’ll be very interesting to see who starts in his place; my guess would be Brandon Clarke (4,900 DK and 5,800 FD) who put up 16 and 12 in his last outing and is too cheap on DK. In general,  there’s lots of good value plays on the Grizz tonight even if Anderson plays; Washington plays at the fastest pace in the NBA and lets up the second most points per game.

Jimmy Butler Questionable: Without Butler 2 nights ago, Kendrick Nunn had a massive game (24-7-3). However, his price has adjusted accordingly and with his likely high ownership (assuming Butler sits), I don’t think he brings nearly as much value to your lineup tonight. I do think Tyler Herro (6,000 DK and FD), who is moderately underpriced and would definitely see more usage and scoring opportunities if Butler sits, could be an interesting play tonight. He took 10 shots and had a 14-2-4 line in his first game back last time out. You need to keep an eye on the Butler news, though, because if he plays, there isn’t much value to be found on this Heat team tonight.

Jaylen Brown Questionable: Without Jaylen Brown last game, our Player Spotlight Jayson Tatum (9,400 DK and 9,300 FD) had a large outing (51 fantasy points) in which he essentially put the Celtics on his back during crunch time. If Brown doesn’t play again, I expect both Tatum and Walker (7,300 DK and 6,800 FD) to pick up the usage and scoring role that Brown normally brings. If Brown does come back, I don’t like any Celtics players tonight. The Clippers play at the second slowest pace in the NBA and give up the 5th fewest points per game to opposing teams. Once again, you’ll have to keep an eye out for the Jaylen news. On the other side of the ball, Kawhi Leonard ($8,800 DK & $9,700 FD) makes for an interesting look against a Celtics team that has really struggled defensively as of late. If Brown sits especially, I don't hate paying up for Kawhi in Draftkings GPP contests at all.

Elfrid Payton Doubtful: As has been the case for the past 3 games, Payton is unlikely to play. Derrick Rose (5,900 DK and 6,200 FD) is still underpriced, and he’s going up against a Spurs team who is terrible at guarding players with Rose’s player profile and is thin at the guard position. Look for Rose to continue his solid play tonight.

TODAY'S PROJECTION TABLES

Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.

 Today's Downloadable Projection Tables 

 

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players

  • Cam Reddish (ATL)
  • Taj Gibson (NY)
  • Mitchell Robinson (NY)
  • Facundo Compazzo (DEN)
  • Gary Harris (DEN)
  • Paul Millsap (DEN)
  • Anthony Davis (LAL)
  • De'Andre Hunter (ATL)
  • Rudy Gay (SA)
  • Derrick White (SA)
  • La'Marcus Aldridge (SA)

Questionable Players

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Q) ATL
  • Kevin Huerter (P) ATL
  • Gabe Vincent (P) MIA
  • Lebron James (P) LAL
  • Damian Jones (P) LAL
  • Jared Dudley (P) LAL
  • Kyle Kuzma (P) LAL
  • Dario Saric (Q) PHO

 

Looking for our lineup optimizer or datasheet? We've moved that over to the AC Plus page!

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