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QUICK HITTERS (3/22)
- Today's main slate features 8 games. IND, BOS, OKC, HOU, TOR, CLE are on a back to back.
- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is MIL v IND at 231.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is BOS v MEM at 220 points.
NEED TO KNOW
Garland Questionable, Love, Prince Out: If Garland were to sit, I would absolutely love Sexton ($7,100 DK and $7,300 FD) tonight; he would have a large increase in his usage, and he’s playing against a SAC team that lets up the second most points to opposing teams in the NBA. Also, SAC ranks third to last in the NBA at guarding SG’s.
Bazley, Dort, Horford Out: Without Dort in the lineup, I really like Mykhailliuk ($3,600 DK and $4,300 FD); he’s getting more and more minutes with this OKC team (15-3-4 in 21 minutes yesterday), and I expect those to continue to increase tonight without Dort. I also love his matchup against MIN, who’s the third fastest-paced team in the NBA and has the third worst defense.
Lamelo, Zeller Out, Rozier Questionable: Without Lamelo for likely the rest of the season, the Hornets will have to find other ways to score; I think Monk ($4,000 DK and $3,500) and Graham ($4,800 DK and $4,300 FD) both begin to have higher usages and roles in the offense. Both guys are underpriced tonight (ESPECIALLY Monk on FD) and have solid chances at returning value.
Kemba, Tristan Out: Without Kemba tonight, the guy who I think gains the most value is Marcus Smart ($5,600 DK and $5,000 FD). He probably gets the start in Kemba’s place, and he’s just starting to get comfortable after coming back from his injury.
Giannis, Kurucs Out: I like virtually all of the guys on the Bucks tonight. You have to look at Middleton ($7,600 DK and $7,000 FD) first and foremost; I think he takes the most shots on this team and takes over the primary playmaker role. I also like Portis ($4,100 DK and $3,700 FD), who’s dirt cheap and should easily return value with the number of minutes he should get.
Gordon, Nwaba, Oladipo Out, Porter Questionable, Augustin Probable: Without Oladipo and potentially Porter, I think you have to look at Wall ($7,100 DK and $7,800 FD); he should be the primary ball handler, facilitator, and scorer, and hopefully he takes some pride tonight in the fact that his team has lost 20 games in a row.
Gobert Questionable: Seems likely that Gobert would play tonight considering he played well on 35 minutes just a few nights ago, but if he somehow sits, I would like Favors ($3,500 DK and FD), who should easily return value with increased minutes and a likely start, not to mention a great matchup against a bad CHI defense.
3/22 CORE PLAYS
This section aims to identify players we think are especially good plays in either CASH or GPP lineups. For our full 3 player cores for both cash & GPP, start your 1 week free trial of our AC Plus membership today!
In CASH lineups, we’re looking for players who have a high floor (players who have a low chance at flopping). We’re also not very concerned about ownership in cash lineups. In fact, if a guy has super high ownership, it makes sense to have him in your lineup so that other users don’t gain a massive advantage over you if he plays well. Conversely, if the player plays poorly, it doesn’t hurt you too much because so many users have him in their lineups.
Khris Middleton ($7,600 DK & $7,000 FD)
With Giannis out tonight, I love both Portis and Middleton. I’ll go Middleton because I do feel he has the safer floor tonight. You can expect Middleton to be one of the highest owned players on the slate… He is essentially a must in cash lineups tonight having put up 16 shots in both of his last 2 and in what should be a higher usage role tonight.
Contrary to CASH, we are looking for “diamond in the rough” plays in a GPP lineup. We want guys who have low ownership, and/or guys who have a high upside (a chance to pop off). Since you only make money if you place in the top ~20%, you need to have some guys in your lineup that return high value but that are not highly owned.
Svi Mykhailiuk ($3,600 DK & $4,300 FD)
With Dort being ruled out tonight, I think Svi is a REALLY interesting look. He is getting more comfortable in an expanded role in OKC, and has seen his minutes ramp up in each of the last 2 games. I expect him to see 20-25 minutes tonight, and if he does, he has smash potential against a MIN team that plays at the third fastest pace in the NBA.
For our full 3 player cores for both cash & GPP, start your 1 week free trial of our AC Plus membership today!
TODAY'S PROJECTION TABLES
Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.
Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.
- Matthew Dellavadova (CLE)
- Andre Drummond (CLE)
- Taureen Prince (CLE)
- Marvin Bagley (SAC)
- Malik Beasley (MIN)
- Jordan McLaughlin (MIN)
- George Hill (OKC)
- Lamarcus Aldridge (SAS)
- Keita Bates-Diop (SAS)
- Cam Reddish (ATL)
- Patrick Beverley (LAC)
- Serge Ibaka (LAC)
- Jarrett Culver (Q) - MIN
- Deandre Hunter (Q) - ATL
- Trae Young (P) - ATL
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Each days newsletter will be posted no later than 2 hours before the main slate of games tips-off, see you tomorrow!