NBA DFS Analytics: March 1st

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What’s up everyone! We’re incredibly excited to finally share with you what we’ve been working on for so long! We just released our wide array of DFS tools which will include:

1) Our Advanced NBA Lineup Optimizer (which allows you to optimize for cash/GPP lineups and lock/exclude players based on certain criteria),

2) Our in depth Daily NBA Datasheets for every player from every main slate game.

3) Our NBA player spotlight analyses.

4) Our brand new “DFS Dives” series.

5) Member exclusive All-Star weekend content.

All of this is available through our new Analytic City Plus membership plan for just $1.99/week! Try it out for tonight's games, every membership starts with a 1 week free trial!

Still not sure? Learn more about what you get as an Analytic City Plus Member!

Words cannot describe how excited we are to finally be able to share these new tools with you all! We think they are really a game changer for DFS and we can’t wait to hear what you guys think!

If the AC Plus DFS membership is not for you, you’ll still be able to access our daily projection tables and DFS write ups for free on this page every single day!

Quick Hitters (3/01)

- Today's main slate features 7 games, HOU & CHA are on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is CHA v SAC at 238.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is DET v NY at 214 points.

Need to Know:

Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb both Questionable: Brogdon didn’t play last game, and TJ. Mcconnell ($6,100 DK and FD) got the start in his place. He played 46 (!) minutes and put up a 17-12-6 statline. I expect him to get the start again if Brogdon sits, and he should get even more minutes if Lamb sits as well. TJ is also going up against the Sixers (his old team) who are terrible at guarding players with TJ’s player profile; I expect him to come out aggressive and put up some big numbers if Brogdon sits. Make sure you stay updated on Brogdon and Lamb’s statuses tonight.

Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris Questionable: Tobias sat last game as well, and Embiid absolutely went off. In general, I like playing any of the Sixers big three (or both of them) if one of them is out. But I especially love the Embiid/Tobias start/sit pivot; Embiid ($10,600 DK and $10,800 FD) is again a strong play if Tobias sits and Tobias ($7,900 DK and $7,100 FD) a strong play if Embiid sits. If both sit, it should open up TONS of shot attempts and usage for basically every other Sixers player, but especially Simmons ($8,800 DK and $9,000 FD). Make sure you keep an eye out for this news because it could potentially be the biggest of the night.

Gay, Johnson, Vassell, White Out again: This is pretty old news, so prices have basically adjusted, except for Patty Mills ($4,700 DK and $3,900 FD). He’s still extremely underpriced and is in a very positive matchup against a Brooklyn team that is terrible at guarding players with Mills’ player profile. Also, Brooklyn plays at the 6th fastest pace and allows the 4th most points to opposing teams, so this should be a high scoring game. I like Mills on Fanduel especially, where he is simply too cheap at $3,900.

Eric Gordon Questionable: The rockets have been struggling mightily lately, and Eric Gordon being questionable definitely does not help their cause. If Gordon doesn’t play tonight, I think Oladipo ($7,700 DK and $7,600 FD) and John Wall ($8,300 DK and $8,600 FD) could be decent plays. They’re both in positive matchups against a CLE team that isn’t good at guarding players with their player profiles. Also, Wall has been vocal about his frustration with the Rockets struggles, and I think tonight could be a turning point for them. IF it does turn out to be a turning point, it’ll be Wall and Oladipo that lead the charge.

In general, tonight needs to be a night where you monitor injury news down to tip-off.


Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.

 Today's Downloadable Projection Tables 

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players

  • Lauri Markkanen (CHI)
  • Otto Porter (CHI)
  • Gary Harris (DEN)
  • Paul Millsap (DEN)
  • Kevin Durant (BKN)

Questionable Players

  • Kristaps Porzingis (P)
  • JJ Redick (Q)
  • Timothe Luwawu-Carrabot (Q)
  • Jeff Green (Q)
  • Tyler Johnson (P)
  • Cedi Osman (Q)


Looking for our lineup optimizer or datasheet? We've moved that over to the AC Plus page!

If you love basketball, we have an NBA blog here.

See you tomorrow 2-3 hours before tip-off!