NBA DFS Analytics: March 14th



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Quick Hitters (3/14)

- Today's main slate features 6 games, ATL, MIN, OKC, POR & TOR are on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is MIN v POR at 235 points. The game with the lowest over/under is MIA v ATL at 211.5 points.


Bam, Leonard Out: Without Bam in the lineup, Jimmy Butler ($9,400 DK and $10,300 FD) has been on an absolute tear. Last night, he put up 28-8-3. He’s been the clear number 1 scoring option for the Heat while Bam has been out, and I don’t think that changes tonight. I also like Olynyk ($6,100 DK and $4,500 FD), who’s been getting the start for Bam and is in a positive matchup tonight against a Magic team that’s bad at defending bigs like Kelly.

Fournier, Gordon Out, Ross Questionable: Without these guys, Vucevic ($9,900 DK and FD) should see a large scoring and playmaking role. He is in a tough matchup tonight, though, against a Heat team that allows the 4th fewest points in the NBA. I don’t see too much other value in this game; I could see it being a blowout and I think the Magic will struggle mightily, so be careful about Vuc and the other ORL players.

Capela, Okongwu Questionable, Young Probable: If Capela were to sit, Collins ($6,400 DK and $5,900 FD) would presumably pick up some of the big-man minutes. If both Capela AND Okongwu are out, I think Collins could see a massive uptick in his minutes tonight and would be a must play. Other than that, there isn’t much value to be found on the Hawks tonight.

Drummond, Prince Out, Garland Questionable: I really like Sexton ($7,800 DK and FD) tonight, ESPECIALLY if Garland sits; he would get even more opportunities than normal without Garland in the lineup, but either way the Hawks are really bad at guarding players with Sexton’s player profile, so I expect him to score easily tonight.

Gordon, House, Wall, Tucker Out, Nwaba Questionable: The Rockets have been struggling a lot recently, and it could continue tonight against a tough Celtics defense. I like Oladipo ($8,400 DK and $7,700 FD) tonight, as he should be the go-to option offensively for HOU. Patton (5,400 DK and 5,000 FD) should be another solid play tonight, as he’s playing against a BOS team that is terrible at guarding Centers with his player profile.

Pat Bev Out: There is lots of value on this Clippers team tonight; I could see a bunch of guys playing well against a NOP team that gives up the 4th most points to opposing teams. I would start whoever takes Beverley’s place in the starting lineup; my guess would be Jackson ($4,600 DK and $4,900 FD), who should see increased minutes without Bev.

OG, Pascal, Fred still Out: The prices for Powell ($7,400 DK and $7,800 FD) and Lowry ($8,600 DK and $8,400 FD) have adjusted accordingly, but I still think they’re good plays tonight against a CHI team that plays at the 5th fastest pace in the league and allows the 7th most points.


Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.

 Today's Downloadable Projection Tables 

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players:

Avery Bradley (MIA)

Cole Anthony (ORL)

James Ennis (ORL)

Deandre Hunter (ATL)

Cam Reddish (ATL)

Christian Wood (HOU)

Jordan McClaughlin (MIN)

Harry Giles (POR)

CJ McCollum (POR)

JJ Redick (NOP)

Garrett Temple (CHI)

Patrick McCaw (TOR)

Questionable Players:

Gabe Vincent (P) - MIA

Jarrett Culver (Q) - MIN

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