NBA DFS Analytics: June 1st


1) Welcome to our FREE NBA DFS Newsletter! It's playoff time and we can't wait to bring you some value. Below you will find:

- Some Quick Hitters on the days games.

- Our Playoff Blueprint, with DFS plays we like from various price ranges and some ideas for lineup construction strategy.

- Our Projection Tables, which offer a sneak peak at our FULL Player projections, which can be found in our AC+ NBA Newsletter.

- Monkey Knife Fight Plays of the day, you can learn more about Monkey Knife Fight here.

Good Luck Tonight! If you have any questions reach out to us on Twitter!

2) We are hosting the Official Standings for the Clockwork Sports NBA Playoff Challenge on our website! Compete for a chance to win $25 cash, Clockwork sports VIP access for the NBA finals, or an NBA TopShot moment! Learn more here.


- Today's main slate features 3 games. Nobody is on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is BOS v BKN at 236 points. The game with the lowest over/under is LAL v PHO at 208 points.


Welcome to our brand new section for the NBA Playoffs! This section will provide you with a full breakdown (or 'blueprint') of both players and strategies we like for tonight's games. Our goal is for this section to replace our usual 'Need to Know' and 'Core Plays' sections, as there is typically much less injury news in the playoffs and we want to focus in more on matchups and lineup construction!

Tonight's Lineup Construction: 

This sub-section will briefly breakdown lineup construction strategies to consider for tonight's slate. Are there high tier must plays? Is there a ton of cheap value? Should you go Stars and Scrubs? Etc.

I’ll definitely start off my lineup by locking in these Lakers players (Lebron and Drummond); I think they’re the two best plays of the night, and I think both could quite easily return value very early on. I would even be fine with locking in Marc Gasol as well. It’s rare that there are injuries that can be exploited from a DK/FD sense, so when there are injuries, you have to make sure you take advantage of them. The prices haven’t adjusted to AD being out, so there is going to be a lot of value to be found on this Lakers team. I also think it’s important to take note of this mid-tier tonight. I think it’s very strong (stronger than normal), and even my third favorite player from that tier (CP3) is a player I REALLY like tonight.

Tier 1 ($8,000 +)

Each of the following tiers will provide our top 2-3 value plays (depending on how many games there are) of the night from within the specified price range. 

Note: We will be using DraftKings prices for the price-range classifications. This free newsletter will provide our second and third favorite play(s) from each tier! 

For our FULL PLAYOFF BLUEPRINT, which includes all our favorite plays from each tier, start your 1 week free trial of our AC Plus membership today!

2. Nikola Jokic ($10,400)

After a very disappointing game 4, I expect Jokic to respond with authority tonight. He’s not really thought of as a gamer in the same way that guys like Kawhi or Lebron are thought of, but I think he’s actually got a lot of fight in him. He came back from 2 different 3-1 deficits in last year’s playoffs, and there are not many guys I would rather have on my team in a situation where you must persevere. He’ll have a larger impact on game 5 than he did in game 4, and I can promise you that. Look for a massive triple-double type game tonight from Jokic, and also look for the Nuggets to respond to their terrible game 4 performance.

3. Damian Lillard ($9,600) 

Talk about a gamer, and you must include Lillard in those conversations. Dame lives for games like tonight; it’ll be a hugely important, highly watched game that will probably come down to the wire if I had to guess. Neither team has played excellent defense in this series, and I expect this game to be a high scoring one, which means both Jokic and Lillard should go off. Lillard has had an excellent series both shooting the ball and getting to the rim/getting buckets for his teammates, so I don’t expect there to all of a sudden be resistance tonight.

Tier 2 ($5,000-$7,900)

2. Norman Powell ($5,600)

Norman Powell is coming off a game in which he put up 29-1-2, and I think that should really improve his confidence going forward in this series. Also, even though he had a huge game last game, DEN is not all of a sudden going to change their coverage, especially as they have CJ and Dame to pay attention to primarily. Powell should continue to get buckets from slashing to the rim and spotting up on the three point line, and I'll continue to like him if he’s going to be at the bottom end of this middle tier, because I just think that’s quite frankly too low. 

3. Chris Paul ($6,600)

Chris Paul finally looked somewhat like himself in game 4, and it’s probably because that shoulder is slowly returning to normal. He already said that he’s playing in game 5 (which is a step up from the last game in which he was a game-time decision), and it’s also the type of injury that will probably get better fairly quickly. I think he’ll continue to look even more healthy tonight and will therefore continue to be successful in that mid-range area. His shot looked a bit better, and he just looked more confident overall in game 4 in terms of making decisions out of the pick and roll.

Tier 3 ($3,000-$4,900)

2. Jae Crowder ($4,700)

Crowder put up 17-4-7 in game 4, and I think he has a potential to do the same again tonight. He’s going to continue to get open shots from three as a result of the attention that both CP3 and Booker require on defense. Also, as CP3 looks more and more confident dribbling and making plays for his teammates, Jae Crowder will continue to get open looks, and he’ll also continue to rack up peripheral stats as long as he’s on the court (and he’s going to stay on the court, because he’s one of the Suns best defenders, especially for Lebron).

3. Payton Pritchard ($3,200)

Without Kemba in the lineup for a second straight game, I expect Pritchard to get some solid minutes at that point guard position. He played 24 minutes in game 4, and he played very well, so I expect him to get even more minutes tonight (and potentially even the start). Furthermore, in a game that will likely be a blowout, he should have freedom to at times be the primary playmaker for this Celtics team. At only 3.2k, he should be able to return value pretty easily with what his role will be tonight.

For our FULL PLAYOFF BLUEPRINT, which includes OUR TOP PLAY from each tierstart your 1 week free trial of our AC Plus membership today!   


Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.

 6/1 AC Projection Tables


Hey Everyone! If you haven't already, be sure to get set up with an account for the playoffs. MKF is one way to make these playoff games even more entertaining and it's super simple to play!

Lebron James MORE than 27.5 Points

Without AD, I expect Lebron to have a vintage Lebron playoff night tonight, and part of that means attacking early and often. I think we’ll see him attack the rim like we haven’t seen in these playoffs yet from him; even though he’s battling an ankle injury, he’s looked more and more fresh with each game, and I think that he has a gear he hasn’t yet shown in these playoffs. He always saves himself for important games, but his injury has caused him to be even safer, and I think that comes to an end tonight. Expect to see an angry Lebron.

Andre Drummond (+1.5 Rebounds) MORE Rebounds than Deandre Ayton

Without AD, I expect Drummond’s minutes and usage to increase. He should grab a far higher percentage of rebounds without AD in the lineup, and I think he’ll take a big chunk of AD’s minutes as well. Giving him a rebounding boost tonight seems ludacris, and I would probably take Drummond without the rebounding bonus to have more boards than Ayton tonight. Drummond should be hyped to play in one of his first meaningful playoff games (with a big role), and I think that’ll translate to him working his butt off on the glass.

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Each days newsletter will be posted no later than 2 hours before the main slate of games tips-off, see you tomorrow!