NBA DFS Analytics: February 28th


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What’s up everyone! We’re excited to finally share with you what we’ve been working on for so long! Releasing today is our wide array of DFS tools which will include:

1) Our Advanced NBA Lineup Optimizer (which allows you to optimize for cash/GPP lineups and lock/exclude players based on certain criteria),

2) Our in depth Daily NBA Datasheets for every player from every main slate game.

3) Our NBA player spotlight analyses.

4) Our brand new “DFS Dives” series.

5) Member exclusive All-Star weekend content.

All of this is available through our new Analytic City Plus membership plan for just $1.99/week! Try it out for tonight's games!

 

Still not sure? Learn more about what you get as an Analytic City Plus Member!

Words cannot describe how excited we are to finally be able to share these new tools with you all! We think they are really a game changer for DFS and we can’t wait to hear what you guys think!

If the AC Plus DFS membership is not for you, you’ll still be able to access our daily projection tables and DFS write ups for free on this page every single day!

QUICK HITTERS (FEB 27th)

- Today's main slate features 8 games, MIN, NY & WAS are on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is CHA v SAC at 238.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is DET v NY at 214 points.

Need to Know:

Jaylen Brown Questionable: If Jaylen doesn’t play tonight, that should open up a ton of additional usage and shots for Walker ($6,800 DK and FD). The Wizards play at the fastest pace in the NBA and allow the second most points to opposing teams, so it should be fairly easy for the Celtics to put up some points tonight. As a whole, I also like all of the Celtics bigs tonight (Theis, Tristan, and Rob) who should be able to pound the glass against a Washington team who is terrible at rebounding the ball. Keep an eye out for Jaylen news and look to get Walker/Tatum in your lineup if he sits.

Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro Questionable: You’re going to have to watch the news on this one, but if Butler and Herro both don’t play, that would be monumental news. Herro didn’t play the last game and it opened up minutes and usage for Goran ($5,400 DK and $5,500 FD) and Nunn ($5,600 DK and $5,000 FD). If Jimmy also didn’t play tonight, that would give a boost to virtually every player on the Heat roster, even Herro ($6,300 DK and $6,000 FD) (if he plays). Nunn is still too cheap, especially on Fanduel. If either of these guys sit, I like him as a GPP look tonight.

Victor Oladipo Out: With Oladipo out, I would expect Sterling Brown, Nwaba, and Tate to all see increased minutes and usage. I especially like Brown ($3,900 DK and FD) and Nwaba ($4,600 DK and $5,300 FD) tonight; They are both underpriced and are in extremely positive matchups against a Memphis team that is terrible at guarding wings. Nwaba was outstanding last time Oladipo sat, going for 22-9-2 in just 27 minutes. Finally, I think John Wall ($8,300 DK and $8,800 FD) likely returns value tonight, too. He’ll have to pick up a lot of the scoring load without Victor in the lineup.

Grayson Allen Out: Grayson Allen has been starting for the Grizz as of late, so I think whoever starts in his place will likely return the most value tonight from Memphis. The Grizz could choose to go big with Brandon Clarke or Winslow in his place, or go small with Bane or Melton. It’s a toss up who will start for the Grizz so make sure you keep an eye out for the starting lineup and make a decision after that comes out. If Melton ($4,500 DK & $3,800 FD) starts, I LOVE his chances of returning value tonight.

Tyrese Halliburton Out: Nobody on the SAC bench played well in Halliburton’s absence last game, but I think Cory Joseph ($3,700 DK and $3,900 FD) could have a bounce back game against a Charlotte team who plays at an above average pace and lets up a lot of points. He’s especially interesting in GPP lineups coming off such a terrible performance. I expect his ownership to be under 5% in a game where he sees ~20 minutes.

TODAY'S PROJECTION TABLES

Viewable top 10 tables for projected +- (value), projected points, projected ownership and price discrepancies. Tables available for both Draftkings and Fanduel.

 Today's Downloadable Projection Tables

 

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players

  • De’Andre Hunter
  • Cam Reddish
  • Blake Griffin
  • Delon Wright
  • Taj Gibson
  • Mitchell Robinson
  • Devonte Graham
  • Hassan Whiteside

Questionable Players

  • Davis Bertans (Q)
  • Trae Young (P)
  • Bam Adebayo (P)
  • Gabe Vincent (P)
  • Lebron James (P)
  • Elfrid Payton (D)
  • Dario Saric (Q)
  • Gordon Hayward (P)
  • Cody Zeller (Q)

 

Looking for our lineup optimizer or datasheet? We've moved that over to the AC Plus page!

If you love basketball, we have an NBA blog here.

See you tomorrow 2-3 hours before tip-off!