AC Plus 3/28


Announcements

1) We are extremely excited to announce our first ever AC Plus Member contest! Compete for a chance to win a FREE LIFETIME AC PLUS Membership! For the full rules and current standings, click here: AC Plus Member Contest Rules/Standings.

Remember, ONLY ENTER 1 OF THE CONTESTS OR YOUR ENTRY WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED IN THE FINAL STANDINGS!

Due to DraftKings only allowing contests with 20 entries or fewer to be resized, 2 separate contests will be created each night to ensure they run. Don't worry, all scores will be aggregated in an Excel Sheet regardless of which contest you enter. The maximum number of participants for tonight's 2 contests is 40!

2) Check out our most recent blog post which proposes 3 changes to DraftKings scoring!

3) Let us know if you're having any trouble with any of our tools! The best way to reach us is Twitter DM! You can also find our full tutorial video on how to use our datasheet & optimizer here

4) If you're looking for an NBA DFS Discord server, we have our very own channel in a group with nearly 1,000 active DFS members! Join here: DFS Coach/Analytic City Discord!

Today's Optimizers and Datasheets

(Note: Needs Excel Version 2010 or later)

Quick Hitters (3/28)

- Today's main slate features 3 games. nobody is on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is POR v TOR at 231.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is ORL v LAL at 208.5 points.

NEED TO KNOW

Lillard Questionable, Little, Collins Out: If Lillard sits, I think you have to consider getting either CJ ($8,000 DK and $7,900 FD) or Powell ($6,600 DK and $7,500 FD) into your lineup. I especially like Powell, who’s going up against his old team that traded him  just a few days ago. TOR is also the worst team in the NBA at guarding SG/SF, so Powell has a nice looking matchup tonight.

Bembry, McCaw, Watson Out: Not much news here. Something to look for is Gary Trent and Rodney Hood in some of their first games as Raptors (they’re also playing against their old team). I don’t love these guys tonight, though, because it’s unclear how they will fit into the TOR rotation.

Gary Harris, Teague, Isaac Out, Ross Questionable: The Magic will have 3 new players in their lineup tonight (Hampton, Carter, Porter) from trades. As is the case with the Raptors, it’s unclear what the roles of these guys will be, especially in their first action with the team. For this reason, I don’t like anyone on the Magic tonight, especially against the Lakers (who are the second best scoring defense in the NBA).

3/28 CORE PLAYS

This section aims to identify players we think are especially good plays in either CASH or GPP lineups

CASH CORE: 

In CASH lineups, we’re looking for players who have a high floor (players who have a low chance at flopping). We’re also not very concerned about ownership in cash lineups. In fact, if a guy has super high ownership, it makes sense to have him in your lineup so that other users don’t gain a massive advantage over you if he plays well. Conversely, if the player plays poorly, it doesn’t hurt you too much because so many users have him in their lineups. 

Nikola Jokic (10,400 DK and 11,300 FD)

Jokic is the highest priced player on both slates tonight, and for good reason. He’s playing against the Hawks, who are really bad against players with Jokic’s player profile. We have Jokic projected at around 45% ownership, which would make it really tough to take home money in a cash lineup if you fade him. 

OG Anunoby (6,100 DK and 6,700 FD)

OG Anunoby is slightly underpriced and has been for awhile now. I like him tonight against a POR team that gives up the 4th most points in the NBA. OG is locked in for tons of minutes tonight and therefore has potential to smash his price tag.

GPP CORE:

Contrary to CASH, we are looking for “diamond in the rough” plays in a GPP lineup. We want guys who have low ownership, and/or guys who have a high upside (a chance to pop off). Since you only make money if you place in the top ~20%, you need to have some guys in your lineup that return high value but that are not highly owned.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (3,900 DK and 4,800 FD)

KCP is very cheap tonight and is locked in for starter minutes as he always is. With the amount of time that he’ll get tonight, all it takes is him getting a little bit hot from three to return great value. I like the chances of it happening, too, because ORL is terrible at guarding 3 point shooters like KCP.

Norman Powell (6,600 DK and 7,500 FD)

Powell is going up against his old team tonight (that just traded him a few days ago). He will DEFINITELY come to play and should have a solid game against the TOR defense which he knows very well and should be able to exploit.

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players:

  • Jalen Harris (ATL)

  • Kris Dunn (ATL)
  • Cam Reddish (ATL)
  • Lou Williams (ATL)
  • Monte Morris (DEN)
  • Anthony Davis (LAL)
  • Lebron James (LAL)
  • Cole Anthony (ORL)

Questionable Players: 

  • Deandre Hunter (Q) - ATL

Each days newsletter will be posted no later than 2 hours before the main slate of games tips-off, see you tomorrow!