AC Plus 3/18


3/18

Announcements

1) We are taking our player spotlight to a new level! Instead of just offering you one single player, we will now be providing 2-3 core plays for both Cash AND GPP lineups! You can find this new section beneath our 'Need to Know' section. These players are also incorporated into our optimizers under the cash/GPP locks! Let's do some winning!!

2) As always, let us know if you're having any trouble with any of our tools! The best way to reach us is Twitter DM! You can also find our full tutorial video on how to use our datasheet & optimizer here

3) If you're looking for an NBA DFS Discord server, we have our very own channel in a group with nearly 1,000 active DFS members! Join here: DFS Coach/Analytic City Discord!

If you're enjoying using our optimizer, send us a Tweet (or DM) @CityAnalytic! We want to show off the lineups you've been building! 

Today's Optimizer And Datasheets

3/18 Excel Datasheet/Optimizer

(Note: Needs Excel Version 2010 or later)

3/18 Google Sheets Datasheet/Optimizer

Quick Hitters (3/18)

- Today's main slate features 6 games. CHA & WAS are on a back to back.

- As of this writing, the game with the highest over/under is POR v NO at 240.5 points. The game with the lowest over/under is NY v ORL at 206.5 points.

NEED TO KNOW 

Russell Westbrook Out (?): It’s unclear whether Westbrook will rest tonight - there have been conflicting reports about him potentially resting tonight on the second night of a back to back. If he sits, I love Raul Neto ($3,800 DK and $3,500 FD), who would probably get the start in his absence and would become one of my favorite plays on the slate.

Mike Conley Out: Without Conley in the lineup, I like whoever starts in his place; my guess would be Joe Ingles ($5,200 DK and $4,400 FD), who usually gets the start when they have a starter out. Besides Ingles, I like a lot of the Jazz guys due to the fact that they are playing Washington, who’s the worst defensive team in the NBA and the fastest paced team.

Capela, Okongwu Questionable: If these two both don’t play again, I would like Collins ($7,200 DK and $7,500 FD) a lot, especially against an OKC team that is bad against players that play like Collins. It’s also tough to look away from Nathan Knight ($3,500 DK and FD), who had 15-1-3 last game without Capela and Okongwu playing and is extremely cheap.

Bazley Out, Lu Dort, Maledon Questionable: Keep track of who starts in this game, because I would like a low priced guy like Ty Jerome or Kenrich Williams if they find themselves in the starting lineup somehow. But, I like SGA ($9,000 DK and $7,900 FD) regardless, as he’s in an UNBELIEVABLE matchup against an ATL team that is terrible at defending guards who attack the paint.

Rose, Rivers, Robinson Out, Payton Doubtful, Quickley Questionable: If all of these players sit, I would really like Alec Burks ($4,900 DK and $4,500 FD), who would likely get a lot more minutes and shot opportunities without these guys in the lineup. I also like both Randle ($10,000 DK and $9,200 FD) and Barrett ($6,400 DK and $5,900 FD), who are in incredible matchups against an ORL team that is terrible at guarding players with their player profiles.

Fournier, Gordon, Ross Questionable, Michael Carter-Williams Out: If none of these guys play, Vucevic ($10,100 DK and $10,000 FD) should have a fairly large role tonight; I don’t LOVE him though, because the Knicks are the best defensive team in the league and play at the slowest pace.

3/18 CORE PLAYS

This section aims to identify players we think are especially good plays in either CASH or GPP lineups.

Cash Core: 

In CASH lineups, we’re looking for players who have a high floor (players who have a low chance at flopping). We’re also not very concerned about ownership in cash lineups. In fact, if a guy has super high ownership, it makes sense to have him in your lineup so that other users don’t gain a massive advantage over you if he plays well. Conversely, if the player plays poorly, it doesn’t hurt you too much because so many users have him in their lineups. 

Alec Burks ($4,900 DK & $4,500 FD) 

With essentially the entire NY backcourt out, Burks should step into some PG minutes tonight. He played 36 minutes last time out against the 76ers and took 15 shots. Priced under $5,000, I expect him to easily return value in what should be a high usage role tonight. 

Jordan Clarkson ($6,100 DK & $5,200 FD) 

I love Clarkson tonight because he feels game-script proof. What I mean by that is he should get his minutes regardless of whether or not this game is a blowout. I could easily see Utah running away with this one early, in which case Clarkson would get some additional burn with the second unit. Regardless, he should get his customary 15+ shots up against a Wizards team that plays at the fastest pace in the NBA.

Lebron James ($10,700 DK & $10,800 FD)

I had a really tough time deciding between James and Lillard here. I think you absolutely need one of them in your lineup tonight, but getting the correct one is pivotal. I decided to go James because I think Lillard gets keyed in on tonight after his monster performance last time out. Also, Charlotte has been awful defensively, particularly against players with James’ profile, and James could come out angry after LaMelo said he wasn’t excited to play against him. 

nba dfs

(Above core shown using DK pricing)

GPP Core:

Contrary to CASH, we are looking for “diamond in the rough” plays in a GPP lineup. We want guys who have low ownership, and/or guys who have a high upside (a chance to pop off). Since you only make money if you place in the top ~20%, you need to have some guys in your lineup that return high value but that are not highly owned.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($4,200 DK & $4,500 FD)

Walker is a really interesting look tonight. He basically cost New Orleans the game last time out by fumbling the ball out of bounds, and took to social media to talk about how he intends to bounce back. I think he comes out and plays extremely hard tonight in an effort to show fans the type of player he is. If that’s not enough for you, he did go for 20-5-1 in this same matchup 2 nights ago, which would smash his $4,200 price tag if he could replicate it.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($9,000 DK & $7,900 FD)

Not sure what his ownership will end up looking like (dependent on whether Dort and Maledon play) but I’m all over SGA tonight. He had one of his worst fantasy performances of the season a few nights ago and now gets a Hawks team that has been TERRIBLE at defending players with SGA’s player profile this season. Especially if Dort and/or Maledon sit, I think SGA has 50+ fantasy point potential and is an absolute steal on FD.

Talen Horton-Tucker ($3,900 DK & $3,700 FD)

His ownership will probably be pretty high tonight, but I am including THT in the GPP section because I think he has an incredible amount of potential tonight relative to his price tag. In his past 2 games he has played 28 and 26 minutes, while scoring a combined 34 points, dishing out 14 assists, and grabbing 11 rebounds. He is an absolute stat stuffer and is way too cheap tonight against a Charlotte team that plays essentially 0 defense. 

3/18 NBA DFS GPP core(Above core shown using DK pricing)

Questionable/Out List: These other key players are Questionable or Out. Make sure to check the status of anyone who is questionable right before tipoff. You never definitively know either way until then.

Out Players:

  • Thomas Bryant (WAS)
  • Ish Smith (WAS)
  • Deandre Hunter (ATL)
  • Cam Reddish (ATL)
  • Cole Anthony (ORL)
  • Malik Beasley (MIN)
  • Jordan McLaughlin (MIN)
  • Cam Johnson (PHO)
  • JJ Redick (NOP)
  • Alex Caruso (LAL)
  • Marc Gasol (LAL)
  • Anthony Davis (LAL)

Questionable Players:

  • Raul Neto (Q) - WAS
  • Jarrett Culver (D) - MIN
  • Abdel Nader (Q) - PHO
  • Harry Giles (P) - POR
  • Lebron James (P) - LAL
  • Markieff Morris (P) - LAL

Each days newsletter will be posted no later than 2 hours before the main slate of games tips-off, see you tomorrow!